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Are we ready for winter boots, mittens, building snowmen and tuning up our snowblowers?
Winter may be a few weeks away, but meteorologists are already releasing long-range weather forecasts, and it's unclear what the Garden State can expect.
Officials with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warned Thursday that from December to February, New Jersey and the rest of the Northeast are more likely to see above-average temperatures. According to NOAA, snowfall will have an equal chance of being above or below normal.
That differs slightly from AccuWeather's winter forecast, which predicted colder-than-normal temperatures in the Northeast and snowfall equal to or above average in the New York metropolitan area three weeks ago.
Beginning Dec. 1 and ending Feb. 28 — the bookends of meteorological winter, when the Northern Hemisphere is normally coldest — the battle for who is correct will be fought.
According to AccuWeather's long-range forecast, the Northeast will have a somewhat cooler winter, roughly 1 to 3 degrees below usual. Winter could arrive earlier along the I-95 corridor, with cold air falling in November, according to the report.
It's impossible to predict snowfall even a few days before a storm, let alone months in advance. However, AccuWeather forecasts a range that is equal to or greater than New York City's normal snowfall of 26.1 inches. NOAA does not anticipate seasonal snowfall quantities more than a week in advance, claiming that it is too variable.
